Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.183891 0.214573 0.248225 0.287799 0.332981 0.382874 0.442058
2025-12-07 0.127402 0.167515 0.216293 0.279603 0.359185 0.455456 0.580232
2025-12-14 0.095758 0.137921 0.193343 0.270732 0.375062 0.509766 0.695580
2025-12-21 0.075775 0.117876 0.176944 0.264554 0.389584 0.559682 0.806214
2025-12-28 0.064362 0.107032 0.170347 0.269197 0.417172 0.627423 0.944795
2026-01-04 0.056727 0.100152 0.167879 0.278501 0.451145 0.705821 1.103885
2026-01-11 0.049860 0.093123 0.163813 0.284199 0.479400 0.777342 1.257917
2026-01-18 0.043652 0.086036 0.158421 0.286640 0.502092 0.841510 1.405077
2026-01-25 0.038151 0.079198 0.152332 0.286814 0.520519 0.899749 1.546626
2026-02-01 0.033022 0.072142 0.144792 0.283319 0.531980 0.947063 1.673491
2026-02-08 0.028565 0.065606 0.137226 0.278661 0.540550 0.989663 1.794983
2026-02-15 0.024157 0.058387 0.127338 0.268388 0.537796 1.012345 1.883950
2026-02-22 0.022974 0.057917 0.130707 0.283955 0.584112 1.124350 2.135887
2026-03-01 0.019646 0.052123 0.122566 0.276063 0.585824 1.157743 2.253126
2026-03-08 0.016750 0.046765 0.114539 0.267311 0.584757 1.185591 2.361877
2026-03-15 0.014482 0.042482 0.108197 0.261204 0.588090 1.221446 2.487223
2026-03-22 0.013246 0.040578 0.106923 0.265794 0.613420 1.300611 2.698343
2026-03-29 0.012425 0.039620 0.107709 0.274992 0.649060 1.402067 2.958136
2026-04-05 0.011474 0.038121 0.106984 0.280626 0.677525 1.491206 3.199576
2026-04-12 0.010451 0.036220 0.104992 0.283039 0.699109 1.567866 3.421092
2026-04-19 0.009436 0.034131 0.102215 0.283211 0.715613 1.635065 3.627555
2026-04-26 0.008380 0.031691 0.098164 0.279756 0.723504 1.684774 3.801482
2026-05-03 0.007404 0.029295 0.093868 0.275151 0.728230 1.727951 3.964400